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This Week's Bonus Article
A Weaker Dollar Could Put These 3 Industrial Stocks Back in FocusAuthor: Nathan Reiff. Originally Published: 6/8/2026. 
Key Points
- A weaker U.S. dollar can boost reported earnings for companies with significant international revenue by improving currency translation of foreign sales.
- Nucor reported 21% year-over-year sales growth and a roughly tripled EPS in Q1 2026, benefiting from dollar weakness, tariffs, and domestic reshoring trends.
- Ingersoll Rand and Illinois Tool Works offer additional weak-dollar exposure, though each carries distinct risks including share price declines and tepid organic growth.
- Special Report: The company SpaceX cannot operate without
The U.S. dollar has fallen against other currencies during the second Trump administration, potentially driving up the cost of foreign goods amid other inflation-related pressures. While that may not help consumers already facing stretched pocketbooks, it can be a boon to investors—provided they know where to look. A weaker dollar may be a tailwind for industrial companies with a strong international presence and overseas revenue, thanks to more favorable currency translation. When those firms convert foreign sales into USD, it can boost reported earnings. At the same time, U.S. industrial exports become less expensive for buyers outside the country, helping to further strengthen international business.
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For investors, the weak-dollar trade is less about currency alone and more about finding companies with the right mix of overseas revenue, export exposure, and domestic pricing power. Nucor's Dominance in Domestic Steel Grows Stronger Thanks to Dollar, Tariffs, and ReshoringNucor Corp. (NYSE: NUE) is well positioned during this period because of its international sales exposure and dominant position in the U.S. steel market. The company could get a boost not only from dollar weakness, which can make imported steel less competitive, but also from tariff protections for domestic steel and from potential reshoring of construction and manufacturing activity that relies on Nucor’s products. This three-part tailwind has already delivered impressive performance, including in Q1 2026, when Nucor reported 21% year-over-year (YOY) sales growth and earnings per share that roughly tripled over the same period. Both top- and bottom-line results solidly beat analyst predictions. Looking more closely at the report, EBITDA came in at a strong $1.5 billion, and higher shipments anticipated for the remainder of the year bode well. That came on top of seven million tons of steel shipments in Q1, already a quarterly record for the company. Investors have taken note, and Nucor shares have rallied about 55% year-to-date (YTD). Still, there may be more room to run, particularly thanks to the supportive tariff environment, which has increased Nucor's market share and helped keep prices elevated. Despite some caution from analysts—Wall Street sees a consensus price target for NUE that is about 4% below current trading levels—three quarters of ratings for Nucor stock are Buys. Ingersoll Rand's Acquisition Efforts May Get a BoostIndustrial firm Ingersoll Rand (NYSE: IR) sells a range of compressors, vacuum systems, and other equipment worldwide. With a significant presence in both Europe and Asia, the company may see the dollar value of its foreign revenues get a boost thanks to a weaker dollar. Similarly, any products that the company manufactures in the United States for export will become more competitive relative to non-domestic rivals thanks to a lower effective price. Ingersoll Rand has also seen an increase in both earnings and revenue, with a three-cent beat on the former and a 7.6% YOY improvement and modest beat on the latter in Q1 2026. The company also completed its acquisition of Italian industrial firm Fox s.r.l. earlier this year, a move that expanded Ingersoll Rand’s international footprint and added to its M&A-driven growth strategy. Unlike Nucor, IR shares have fallen so far in 2026, down around 7% YTD. Analysts are fairly evenly split on whether the stock is a Buy or a Hold, but consensus price targets near $92.75 suggest upside potential of around 25%. A Riskier Play on Illinois Tool WorksIllinois Tool Works Inc. (NYSE: ITW) is another diversified industrial company with broad appeal to many international customers. With GAAP EPS up 12% YOY in the first quarter of the year, management raised full-year earnings guidance and anticipates strong operating margin expansion. Add to that a strong dividend history and a 2.5% dividend yield, and the company would seem to have strong appeal even aside from the potential benefits it might see if the dollar keeps declining. If anything, investors might hesitate because of Illinois Tool Works' tepid organic growth. The company has so far been able to boost shareholder value with buybacks supported by 6% YOY free cash flow improvement in Q1, and the firm anticipates a total of about $1.5 billion in share repurchases throughout this year. That could be part of the reason why shares of ITW are only up around 3% YTD, even after rising considerably earlier in the year. Though ITW's financial health has very recently entered the red zone, according to TradeSmith, if international business can accelerate in the current environment, it may be able to appeal more broadly. |
